Auris Medical IPO

4) Both AM101+111 fail to address the chronic market segment - which is by far the largest (in both inner ear pathology categories: tinnitus and hearing loss).
5) Auris Medical has no other products in pipeline; it has no developed products. Therefore, it exists only by the mercy of a clinical trial success - which statistically does not necessarily happen even if products enter phase III.

Apparently Auris Medical AG - which has earlier this year changed name to Auris Medical Holding AG - views some of the risks the way I do...
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward Looking Statements

Forward-looking statements appear in a number of places in this discussion and analysis and include, but are not limited to, statements regarding our intent, belief or current expectations. Many of the forward-looking statements contained in this discussion and analysis can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as "anticipate," "believe," "could," "expect," "should," "plan," "intend," "estimate" and "potential," among others. Forward-looking statements are based on our management's beliefs and assumptions and on information currently available to our management. Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements due to of various factors, including, but not limited to, those identified under the section entitled "Risk Factors" in the Final Prospectus. These risks and uncertainties include factors relating to:
  • our operation as a development stage company with limited operating history and a history of operating losses;
  • our need for substantial additional funding before we can expect to become profitable from sales of our products;
  • our dependence on the success of AM-101 and AM-111, which are still in clinical development and may eventually prove to be unsuccessful;
  • the chance that we may become exposed to costly and damaging liability claims resulting from the testing of our product candidates in the clinic or in the commercial stage;
  • uncertainty surrounding whether any of our product candidates will receive regulatory approval, which is necessary before they can be commercialized;
  • if our product candidates obtain regulatory approval, our being subject to expensive ongoing obligations and continued regulatory overview;
  • enacted and future legislation may increase the difficulty and cost for us to obtain marketing approval and commercialization;
  • the chance that we do not obtain orphan drug exclusivity for AM-111, which would allow our competitors to sell products that treat the same conditions;
  • dependence on governmental authorities and health insurers establishing adequate reimbursement levels and pricing policies;
  • our products may not gain market acceptance, in which case we may not be able to generate product revenues;
  • our reliance on our current strategic relationships with INSERM or Xigen and the potential failure to enter into new strategic relationships;
  • our reliance on third parties to conduct our nonclinical and clinical trials and on third-party single-source suppliers to supply or produce our product candidates; and
  • other risk factors discussed under "Risk Factors" included in the Final Prospectus
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update them in light of new information or future developments or to release publicly any revisions to these statements in order to reflect later events or circumstances or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.
Source: http://www.streetinsider.com/SEC+Filings/Form+6-K+Auris+Medical+Holding+For%3A+Dec+03/10064894.html
 
It's just going to the MOON guys!

So glad I heard about it here.

auris-medical-ears.png
 
Wow, up over 400% as of this writing. Of all of the hearing biotechs I would not have guessed that this one would pop like this. In fairness, they had pretty much crashed down into nothing, but I kind of expected them to stay there. Hats off to anyone who picked any up recently!

A decade ago I exchanged a few emails with their CEO about AM-101. I had actually emailed the contact info on their website and he was the one who responded, I was kind of surprised. He's a pretty nice guy.
 
And it's down from $5.2 to $2.6.

I wonder what would be a good time to pick up some shares...

I suppose that now we are in the long wait between the initial euphoria of the COVID-19-protection outcome and the next clinical trials... stock prices may come down a bit more... to an interesting level. Say $1.5 - $2.0... before going up again in anticipation of the next clinical trial.

I think having some kind of simple nasal spray that would temporarily protect you from COVID-19 when in crowded areas (such as airports) could become quite popular? I would take it if I that would allow me to get rid of my face mask.
 
I think having some kind of simple nasal spray that would temporarily protect you from COVID-19 when in crowded areas (such as airports) could become quite popular?
No it wouldn't. Vaccines are already in existence. Everyone will soon be vaccinated.
 
No it wouldn't. Vaccines are already in existence. Everyone will soon be vaccinated.
I was wondering about that. Without getting political, there may be many opposed to a vaccine while being ok with a nasal spray? What do you think?
 
I was wondering about that. Without getting political, there may be many opposed to a vaccine while being ok with a nasal spray? What do you think?
This will be a very small number. One of the main driving forces of the anti-vax movement is a mistrust of science. If they don't trust a vaccine, they're not going to trust a nasal spray, especially if it has to be prescribed.
 
I was wondering about that. Without getting political, there may be many opposed to a vaccine while being ok with a nasal spray? What do you think?
I'd be down for it. Not an anti-vaxxer but for now I remain skeptical about these new rushed vaccines. I'd like to give it a year or two to see the results, so something like this could work in the interim.
 
This will be a very small number. One of the main driving forces of the anti-vax movement is a mistrust of science. If they don't trust a vaccine, they're not going to trust a nasal spray, especially if it has to be prescribed.

Not to rain on the "mistrust of science" parade, but logically speaking, and I'm logical down to my core being, if Science knew precicely the effects of a vaccine down to the cellular level and how it affects each and every aspect of the human body, then it should be able to accuractly predict what small % of the population will experience adverse side effects. There is a reason they created the Vaccine Injury Fund in the USA, UK, and most recently in Canada. Injuries are real. Not everyone's body can take a lifetime's worth of metal adjuvents contained in the vaccines. One size, one vaccine does not fit all. If I give 1oz of vodka to someone with a body mass of 100lbs, and then 1oz to someone weighing 200lbs, it's going to have a different effect. Why even bother with a dosage warning on children's Tylenol? Adjuvent based vaccines are the same. A baby born at 10lbs weight might be better able to cope with metal adjuvents than a baby born at 6 lbs - it's got more body mass to absorb the adjuvents. Yet no one talks about this at all because there is NO proper science being done. In reality, vaccines have become a free-for-all best educated guess kind of science.

The new generation of vaccines and cancer therapies using mRNA technology I am assuming do not use any metal adjuvents in their formulations, but instead rely on lipid nano-particle encased mRNA in which the lipids themselves not only help preserve the mRNA but also act as mild adjuvents. In either case we are doing nothing more than tinkering with the human body, and once injected, there is absolutely no concrete definative knowledge or model that can predict what will happen. What happens if one of your body proteins just happens to match one of the mRNA synthesized proteins? Welcome to a lifelong autoimmune disease where your own body attacks itself. Or you become sensitive to certain foods. Or your joints ache. Or you develop early osteroperosis. To summarize, we are in the neanderthal era of vaccine research, using crude methods we think are working to make us healthy. The entire vax, anti-vax argument is complete and utter BS. The real issue is do we really understand what we are doing to ourselves over decades and decades of commulative injections and are we somehow contributing to an arms race, and hence vaccine dependancy we didn't need in the first place? Follow the money, and you will get that answer. I believe all vaccine research should not be funded by companies who stand to profit from it. Research into human health should be publicly funded and not handed over to private corporations.

End of rant.
My apologies.
 

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