Yes.Is it time to worry now?
This year really flew by, didn't it? I'm sure the next few will too.
Yes.Is it time to worry now?
@BadNeighbors, it is likely that Innovation Partnership is no longer the sole investor at this point. It seems Auricle was trying to attract additional investment back in 2021, based on this video:I still believe that since the University of Michigan owns the patent for this device, their Innovation Partnership might be leading efforts to bring it to market.
However, I worry that, like many university departments, the University of Michigan's Innovation Partnership is severely underfunded and understaffed. This is a press release the Innovation Partnership released last year about the device.
The funding situation for university inventions looks dismal. For example, their "up to $250,000 for mid-stage funding" program is a drop in the bucket. To put that into perspective, my company spent a minimum of $25 million per year, and likely closer to $200 million, developing an all-digital application over two years. A device like this should have at least a few million dollars behind it. A small startup of 12 people could easily burn through $250,000 in just a few weeks.
I also think organizations like Spotify, Capitol Records, or others in the music industry could easily pitch in funding. They would stand to gain goodwill with musicians and fans who suffer from tinnitus. The minimal funding offered by the university would only make sense if it functions like the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, offering support to somewhat risky but potentially profitable technologies to encourage private investment. It cannot be the primary investment itself; it must serve as a seal of approval to signal to real investors that this project is worth supporting. I wonder how much we would need as angel investors to influence the University of Michigan and get this moving.
Another thought: Does Tim Walz know about this device? Regardless of politics, he is a well-known figure, a veteran suffering from tinnitus, and the governor of a state renowned for its medical innovation. See this and this for context. While governors do not hand out grants, Walz's network could help connect Dr. Shore's device with medical investors, companies, and individuals who could accelerate its development. Why are we not lobbying him? We should all be camping outside his office to get a few minutes of his time and make him aware of this device.
The lack of awareness is a real issue. If the last three audiologists I visited, including one who is a professor, were unaware of Dr. Shore's device, I doubt Walz knows about it either.
I pray we see any type of treatment that actually works.My daughter was born the year this thread started. I pray we see this come out before she goes to college...
Looking glum.I've been out of the loop on this for a while. What do we think now? 2030? 2050?
I'm going to assume this is due to the less-than-ideal results of Lenire.Looking glum.
I wonder if we can still get in on the ground floor, either as individuals or as a group.@BadNeighbors, it is likely that Innovation Partnership is no longer the sole investor at this point. It seems Auricle was trying to attract additional investment back in 2021, based on this video:
Who knows how successful they were, but it is quite possible that they now have more investors onboard besides Innovation Partnership.
That said, they do seem to be taking their time and only have a couple of employees. This is probably because they do not have enough funding to move faster. However, they would have burned through $250,000 very quickly. There must be more funding in the mix to keep them going.
Lenire and Auricle operate in different ways. Lenire works by increasing hyperactivity in the dorsal cochlear nucleus (DCN) to distract the brain from tinnitus. In contrast, Auricle reduces hyperactivity, aiming to address the underlying issue directly.I'm going to assume this is due to the less-than-ideal results of Lenire.
That's what I'm thinking. Even though the devices are different, the FDA may be more cautious about approving the Shore device after witnessing the failure of Lenire.I'm going to assume this is due to the less-than-ideal results of Lenire.
The FDA does not care about commercial success.That's what I'm thinking. Even though the devices are different, the FDA may be more cautious about approving the Shore device after witnessing the failure of Lenire.
Based on what?Based on the last trial data, I think it's pretty clear the FDA cannot certify the device to the highest standard for efficacy and safety in humans.
@UKBloke, something Berthold Langguth said during his Q&A with Tinnitus Quest really caught my attention. While discussing Auricle, he mentioned that we won't truly know its efficacy until a larger trial is conducted (or something along those lines). A Freudian slip, perhaps?I'm leaning towards the idea that UMich/Auricle will eventually announce the need for further research to solve the washout problem followed by an additional clinical trial. It's probably not what people want to hear, but I believe this is where we're at.
Based on 50% of the pivotal trial data being unusable.Based on what?
We don't need to know about that. 50% of the data is unusable. Whatever they have been working towards cannot now be delivered.You have no idea if the device has even been submitted, or if any communication between Auricle and the FDA has occurred.
Read the first line of my post again. Then consider the facts and weigh these against the balance of probability. Then consider that until this thread is locked the debate is open. But before you do that, consider some previous posts here talking about financing this operation. If you manage to get that far without whipping yourself into a lather, put the financing question into the context of what went down with Frequency Therapeutics.Much like the several last pages, there is a bunch of wild speculation with no basis.
@UKBloke, you may very well be correct in your assessment, and it sounds like you have a solid understanding of research and clinical trials. However, this thread began in 2013, so I hope you're wrong and the FDA approves the Shore device in 2025.Obviously speculation, but based upon the available facts and balance of probability, this is the situation as I personally see it:
Regarding trial criteria, the UMich team set the bar of clinically significant effect as low as possible. This is detailed in one of the post-trial Q&As Susan Shore gave Tinnitus Hub. Although in itself, the point is perhaps not too significant, I don't think it can be overlooked.
We know that the gold standard for clinical trials is to be double-blind, placebo-controlled, and crossover after a period of washout. Again, for reasons Susan Shore detailed in the Q&A, post-washout data in the last trial cannot be considered. So here we are.
When Susan Shore discussed the invalidated crossover, i.e. a 50% loss of the trial data, it appeared to me at the time that she was spinning the situation quite positively. On my side, however, I was very disappointed, and although I'd stop short of labeling the trial a failure, I think avoidable errors were made. I should just say that I don't wish to discuss my perspective on that particular point because it will only generate an argument that I think is counter-productive at this moment in time.
Taking the above into consideration, perhaps the most pressing question from a research and regulator point of view is, what the heck do we do now?
Based on the last trial data, I think it's pretty clear the FDA cannot certify the device to the highest standard for efficacy and safety in humans. On that point, I don't know if the USA is similar to Europe in as much as it would be possible to certify the current device to a lower "CE" type of standard? If that were the case I would suggest the options going forward are relatively clear.
The FDA (or whatever other governing body) can certify the device "as is" to a less rigorous (although apparently safe for the patient) standard and thus allow Auricle to market. Or, the FDA could demand another clinical trial. What Auricle chooses to do is then ultimately up to them.
I find it hard to accept that Susan Shore, who at times over the years has seemed almost robotic when asserting her dedication to proper science and clinical testing, would want anything less than 100% useable data from a completed trial. To get her way on that would clearly require more money, which is where Jon Pearson comes in.
I've very little to say about Jon Pearson because there's not a great deal of information out there about him as far as I can tell. I do find it rather curious that the CEO of a medical device manufacturing company is pitched as an Entrepreneurial Senior Leader, though. I'm not a fan of this kind of language because there is a world of difference between being entrepreneurial and being an entrepreneur.
Regardless of whose pockets any additional money may come out of (I'd like to make it known that I won't be investing), I'm leaning towards the idea that UMich/Auricle will eventually announce the need for further research to solve the washout problem followed by an additional clinical trial. It's probably not what people want to hear, but I believe this is where we're at.
There is nothing in the data released from Dr. Shore's publications to suggest that the treatment or device is unsafe. Efficacy and safety are entirely separate considerations. The FDA would question the safety of the device only if, for example, a certain percentage of the population experienced something like seizures during the treatment window. The clinical significance criteria appear to follow industry standards and are based on statistical analysis formulas, not something cherry-picked by Dr. Shore's team in this instance.Based on the last trial data, I think it's pretty clear the FDA cannot certify the device to the highest standard for efficacy and safety in humans. On that point, I don't know if the USA is similar to Europe in as much as it would be possible to certify the current device to a lower "CE" type of standard? If that were the case I would suggest the options going forward are relatively clear.
9-10 paragraphs of baseless speculation. You have no idea what is required/what the FDA will or will not do.Based on 50% of the pivotal trial data being unusable.
We don't need to know about that. 50% of the data is unusable. Whatever they have been working towards cannot now be delivered.
Read the first line of my post again. Then consider the facts and weigh these against the balance of probability. Then consider that until this thread is locked the debate is open. But before you do that, consider some previous posts here talking about financing this operation. If you manage to get that far without whipping yourself into a lather, put the financing question into the context of what went down with Frequency Therapeutics.
I've steered clear of this thread for a long time now. But when people start talking about financing, I'm going to step in and make my own personal point of view public. I'd suggest you start taking a couple of hours prior to replying so you can think before speaking.
Did anybody press him on that comment? I can't remember...@UKBloke, something Berthold Langguth said during his Q&A with Tinnitus Quest really caught my attention. While discussing Auricle, he mentioned that we won't truly know its efficacy until a larger trial is conducted (or something along those lines). A Freudian slip, perhaps?
I've just done what I felt I had to and acquaint myself with these processes since Neuromod really started to look like a serious contender six or seven years ago (or however long it was).it sounds like you have a solid understanding of research and clinical trials. However, this thread began in 2013, so I hope you're wrong and the FDA approves the Shore device in 2025.
It would be interesting if your audiologist friend was willing to share some details of what they're observing in that regard. Questions like, what does the average time since tinnitus onset appear to be for those patients using Lenire? And, is the audiologist using any kind of tinnitus loudness measure, like MML for example, prior to and after treatment?I haven't used Lenire (I couldn't afford it), but I personally know an audiologist who has seen patients experience improvements from using it.
Have you considered not visiting this website at all and instead signing on for updates direct from Auricle?Great. I can't wait for next week's iteration of the same.