Central banks, central banks... those fools.
Why central bankers keep their cool over rising house prices | Financial Times (ft.com)
Janet Yellen, US Treasury secretary, spoke last month of her concern over "the pressures that higher housing prices will create for families that are first-time homebuyers or have less income".
She followed European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde, who acknowledged in June that "the disconnect between housing prices and broader economic developments during the pandemic entails the risk of price corrections".
The New Zealanders took a further step in the path of denial: they are in fact saying that central banks have created a real estate bubble, but they just dont care.
"In practice, however, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has interpreted its new mandate narrowly: to intervene when house prices are deemed unsustainable. In its May monetary policy statement, it defined sustainability as not being in bubble territory and declared that "structural factors explain high house prices" and low interest rates made higher prices sustainable."
(really? can a central banker say something so stupid and pretend to be taken seriously? that statement could have been produced by a 3 year old!)
I reproduce some users comment, which seem more insightful than the usual excuses of Janet Yellen, Powell and that disgrace for Europe which is Christine Lagarde:
"The whole debate assumes CBs have only one tool, a big hammer (interest rates) that will smash everything if they dare to use it. But CBs can be far more surgical and intervene in specific sectors. They could put a limit on aggregate mortgage credit growth, linking it to the size of the housing stock, for example, to cool the housing market only. Why not do this immediately, to prevent a generation being cut off?"
(Right now the FED purchases every single month 40bn US dollars worth of mortgage backed securities, that financial rubbish that triggered the 2008 real estate crisis and the Lehman collapse).
"So central banks remit is to ensure that carrots, coffee cups and H&M clothes don't increase more than 2% a year as otherwise the population of the country it serves would feel impoverished. In the mean time, housing prices in London have increased 7 to 10 times in 30 years resulting in a uninspiring 3 bed semi in zone 5 trading at £1m+. But fear not, if avocado prices are contained, surely this 250k deposit will stack pretty quickly. It is questionable whether central banks have done any good at all since 2008."
"Should be fairly obvious that if CBs don't have the mandate of controlling housing inflation then they shouldn't be mucking about with MBS and CMBS markets either. But of course moral hazard has been taken out of most of these markets so perfectly that they have no choice but to jump in at the slightest flutter."
"If housing prices double in 10 years you need twice as much money to buy one. Your money has lost 50% of its purchasing power. If that's not inflation ..."
"Just include housing costs in the basket. Even if you don't rent there is still an opportunity cost to living in your own home, or a mortgage payment. Retirees therefore often downsize. It's an old but monumental failure not to include the most important household outlay into the cost of living. The only challenge is the huge geographical variance. Today it looks like a bad faith argument to avoid recognizing the negative side-effects of QE, an intellectual failure of historical proportions induced by blind faith in monetarist theory and thrown off the rails by a tiny virological event. We need an alternative index, next to the official ones."
"If CBs can't figure out how to measure and include housing inflation then they should close shop and go home. The need to split land and dwelling is not rooted in reality. Most homebuyers don't care for that separation- they simply buy somewhere to live. Even crude measures such as average household income to average house prices point to runaway inflation in housing."
Central banks are a tool used by billionaires to screw up 99% of the population and specifically young people who wont be able to afford a home to live in.
Powell and Lagarde prefer that Blackstone and Berkshire Hathaway own thousands of homes and we pay rent to them. This is absurd for those companies and it is absurd that property is unaffordable for ordinary people. Companies should invest their money on businesses that can grow and change the world, and provide great returns. Homes do not provide great returns. However, companies are putting their excess liquidity on homes because those stupid central bankers keep interest rates at an artificially low level, which is an economic disaster by itself.