We can know more, BUT...
Today I took part in a focus group about a type of hearing regeneration. It is a solid partnership of established scientists, universities and the health service.
Whilst I cannot provide any details whatsoever of the companies, trials or scientific particulars (confidentially agreements), I can hopefully put a realistic picture of where hearing regeneration, whether stem cell or genetic engineering, is currently.
I joined Tinnitus Talk a year ago, right in the middle of OTO-413 and FX-322. I read through the threads and was full of hope. It seemed easy, Phase 1, then quick readout, Phase 2, another quick readout etc and it will be on the market in 2026. This was naive of me and many others, and today more than ever it hit home.
Headlines of "key breakthroughs" are sometimes exactly that. But that key discovery is a computer based model or at most a petri dish finding. In other words it's a couple of years at least from animal trials.
Trial length and follow-ups. Any time new cells enter the body, they carry risks. If a cell doesn't do as its told and proliferate into auditory neurons or hair cells, the risk is cancer, allergic reactions and autoimmune attacks. Follow-ups therefore need to be YEARS AFTER the trial procedure has finished. 5 years seems reasonable. Then you plan for a Phase 2 and recruit participants etc.
You can see where this is going and why it's such a long process. This is if it's showing safety and efficacy. Then it needs approval and then to come to market.
So whilst it's certainly looking possible, 10 years seems wildly optimistic, and 15 years realistic with a positive attitude.
So the upshot is it is not on the immediate or short term horizon and if you need hearing aids or a cochlear implant, you should get them. I have said it before that technology will arrive first and is already well ahead.
After the antics of some biotechs, I hope that we can look realistically at the future of hearing regeneration and also guide newcomers, who like me were a little gullible and misled by those whose aims are to make profit and increase share values. Luckily this focus group didn't contain such entities working on behalf of hearing research.
Science works by challenge, and some of the hype really suppressed the debate that was needed, particularly in the Frequency Therapeutics thread. People were burnt. The question is, who is the next wolf amongst the sheep? Spiral Therapeutics immediately rose its head above the ashes of Frequency therapeutics failure, bought Otonomy's failed product and started engaging with the community. Given what I've shared, be very, very wary.
So, yes I believe hearing regeneration is a great step for tinnitus treatment, however it's a long way away, and today, from speaking with a couple of researchers, it hit home.
Here's to effective treatments for tinnitus and hyperacusis!