Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2 / COVID-19) and Tinnitus

@Bill Bauer , I found it in this Twitter feed (2nd video down atm) but it's missing the first part immediately preceding where the Dr says rubbing alcohol kills Covid in a minute.
I've seen That part of the conference.

Are you saying that since the doctor at the press conference used the word "disinfectant" to refer to hand sanitizer, Trump couldn't have used the word "disinfectant" to refer to UV light, despite the fact that he spoke of UV light in the preceding sentence, and the other person used that word five minutes before Trump's statement? Is THAT the reason you wrote
oes onto talk separately about the disinfectant that kills in a minute (isopropyl alcohol)
If I remember correctly the slide regarding isopropyl alcohol stated that it kills in 30 seconds and the slide about UV light stated that it killed within 2 minutes. LOL. So we can't use the information on those slides to pin this down, and must rely on the context.
 
One of the possible reasons for New York becoming a hotspot - "forcing nursing homes to take on coronavirus patients, in order to free up hospital beds"
https://nypost.com/2020/04/22/forci...coronavirus-patients-is-just-insane-and-evil/
I can't believe how few people are outraged about the above.
health professionals who urged him since early January to take this potential pandemic seriously
Are you talking about THIS official:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/douggo...uising-is-ok-if-you-are-healthy/#265edde02d4d
"If you are a healthy young person, there is no reason if you want to go on a cruise ship, go on a cruise ship."

Anthony Fauci, Director of NIAID, March 9, 2020

MARCH 9!!!
 
I've seen That part of the conference.

Are you saying that since the doctor at the press conference used the word "disinfectant" to refer to hand sanitizer, Trump couldn't have used the word "disinfectant" to refer to UV light, despite the fact that he spoke of UV light in the preceding sentence, and the other person used that word five minutes before Trump's statement? Is THAT the reason you wrote

If I remember correctly the slide regarding isopropyl alcohol stated that it kills in 30 seconds and the slide about UV light stated that it killed within 2 minutes. LOL. So we can't use the information on those slides to pin this down, and must rely on the context.
Please watch the video @Lane just posted. It wouldn't make sense for him to ask to test UV light and then immediately say he also wants to test UV light.
 
It wouldn't make sense for him to ask to test UV light and then immediately say he also wants to test UV light.
I haven't noticed the above when I saw a clip of that press conference yesterday. I have to say that your interpretation is likely right. A less likely (but still possible) scenario is that this is what happens when people speak in public without a teleprompter. People repeat the point they had just said all the time. But like I said, your explanation is the one that's more likely to be right.
 
My tinnitus is really awful, before the Coronavirus as well, and is a huge challenge every day for me.

This virus is certainly going to slow down trials and research and development for hearing regeneration drugs. Also money was drying up before the crisis, because of funding cuts for research and I imagine that will be even worse now.
I wonder if it will ever get back on track? Feels like a pretty big nail in the coffin for so many medical issues, especially one so dear to me and many sufferers here on the forum.

With post lock down lifts and social distancing measures in place will the regenerative ball get rolling again? I am not convinced that the virus is only bad for old people and people with pre existing health issues; what I have read seems to say that's the majority but lots of healthy people are really suffering too who are not old. If the latter statement is not true, one thing is for sure...The fathers and mothers of regenerative medicine are not spring chickens and they have a wealth of knowledge and genius to boot. Stephen Heller, Liberman, Edge, McClain to name a few....

On the bright side, it's 6.30 in the morning and I am going to go for a run with my wife to lose some of my lock down fat that I put on.
 

No, I wasn't talking about Anthony Fauci. I was referring to the various people and agencies at the highest levels of the U.S. government involved in compiling for Trump a comprehensive risk assessment of an emerging coronavirus threat back in December 2019. -- If Obama (and probably any other President in recent history--both parties) had gotten that assessment, they would likely have been all over it from the get go.

ABC News: US intelligence warned of China's spreading contagion in November

Introduction to Article:

Washington (CNN) US intelligence officials were warning as far back as late November that the novel coronavirus was spreading through China's Wuhan region and posing a threat to its people and daily life, according to ABC News. The US military's National Center for Medical Intelligence (NCMI) compiled a November intelligence report in which "analysts concluded it could be a cataclysmic event," one of the sources of the NCMI's report told ABC News.

The source told ABC News that the intelligence report was then briefed "multiple times" to the Defense Intelligence Agency, the Pentagon's Joint Staff and the White House. Repeated briefings were held through December across the US government, including the National Security Council, culminating in a detailed outline of the threat in the President's Daily Brief in early January, according to ABC News, whose report cited four sources briefed on the matter...
......................................................................................

It is certainly reasonable to contemplate the possibility that COVID-19 is just behaving similarly to the other Corona viruses that had been studied in the past. -- So that's him demonstrating being familiar with science. Right?

In light of the findings regarding the effect of sunlight on the virus reported at that "disinfectant" press conference, would you like to acknowledge that there was something to the prediction above

Aren't these two questions essentially asking the same thing? I've already expounded on my perspectives to your first query in THIS POST. I can't see that I would write anything differently if I tried to answer your second question.
.................................................................

Are you trying to rewrite history on purpose, or as a result of just not knowing any better and repeating something written by a journalist who has attempted to deceive you? -- Please confirm that you can't think of an actual problem with the points I made

It's hard to believe somebody would write something so antagonist and condescending. But since you seem to want to press this, I'll just say that when I read your points, I saw a lot of problems, and found most of those points to be rather specious, which is why I chose not to reply. They almost seemed designed to try to get me to follow you down some rabbit hole of your choosing. I've seen you do it with others numerous times, and I have no interest in going down that route.
 
If Obama (and probably any other President in recent history--both parties) had gotten that assessment, they would likely have been all over it from the get go.
Obama who hasn't banned flights from countries that had an Ebola outbreak?

The way risk works is that just because an outbreak hasn't happened, doesn't mean that the policy hasn't resulted in a higher probability of it happening.
I was referring to the various people and agencies at the highest levels of the U.S. government involved in compiling for Trump a comprehensive risk assessment of an emerging coronavirus threat back in December 2019.
Are you saying that those people somehow had better info than the officials at pretty much every other country in the world, not counting China:
There is a database available on
https://www.bsg.ox.ac.uk/research/research-projects/coronavirus-government-response-tracker

that computes "stringency index" for various countries based on measures like travel bans, school closures, investment into a possible vaccine, etc. The index is a number from 0 to 100. For the US, the index turned 76 on March 19. The only OECD countries (there are 35 of them) that had an index above 75 points earlier than March 19 were Italy (no wonder!), Austria (the index exceeded 75 on March 16), Switzerland (March 17), Czech Republic (March 16), Belgium (March 13), Spain (March 15), Finland (March 18), France (March 17), Hungary (March 16), Israel (March 17), Luxemburg (March 16), Netherlands (March 17), Poland (March 15), Slovak Republic (March 16), Slovenia (March 17), South Africa (March 18). I got this data from another source, but I did some random checking and the database confirms the data above. So the majority of developed countries reacted slower than the US, and the vast majority of those that reacted earlier did so 2-3 days before the US.
How do you explain the inaction all of the OECD countries that postponed taking any major action until after the middle of March? And what About the opinions of Dr. Fauci? Are you saying he isn't an expert? And you had never addressed the numerous "experts" whom I had quoted who went on record to criticize Trump for Overreacting.
I've already expounded on my perspectives to your first query in THIS POST.
Your argument is that he shouldn't have been so sure that a new type of coronavirus would behave like the rest of coronaviruses known to science. Fair enough. What Exactly would you have him do, and why is there no other country in the world that had done it (or only began doing it in the middle of March)?
I saw a lot of problems, and found most of those points to be rather specious, which is why I chose not to reply.
It should have been easy to show that something is superficially plausible but actually wrong. When it comes to arguments you seem to be a bad loser (as in bad at losing). Either explain what the problems are, or say that you can't think of a rebuttal, but still choose to believe what you like to believe. I guess the text that I quoted above is pretty much a euphemism for the latter.
They almost seemed designed to try to get me to follow you down some rabbit hole of your choosing.
The comments were designed to convey what I learned thus far. Unlike you I would have been happy to admit that I was wrong should that be revealed in the course of a debate.
I've seen you do it with others numerous times
What are you talking about?
 
It's hard to believe somebody would write something so antagonist and condescending.
You seem to be relying on feelings. My natural reaction is to rely on feelings too, but I am trying to fight it and use logic.

That passage was the Concluding paragraph of my post (where the arguments in the rest of the post were supporting that concluding paragraph). That question had to be asked - your posts were filled with such overwhelmingly obvious falsehoods (as demonstrated in my post that you evidently can't argue with) that either you had been pretending to not know on purpose, or you were mindlessly repeating what you have been brainwashed to think.
 
If Obama (and probably any other President in recent history--both parties) had gotten that assessment, they would likely have been all over it from the get go.
Your argument is basically echoing the argument below, right?

https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/28/coronavirus-major-test-for-trump/
The coronavirus gives Trump his biggest outbreak emergency yet — and experts are worried. (January 28, 2020)

When Ebola was spreading in West Africa in 2014, Donald Trump took to Twitter.

"STOP THE FLIGHTS!," he blasted in all capital letters. "NO VISAS FROM EBOLA STRICKEN COUNTRIES."
...
"We are likely to see trade bans, quarantines and other overreactions that are very harmful," said Lawrence Gostin, a senior professor at Georgetown University and an expert in global health law who has advised several administrations. "With the Ebola epidemic, it was urging quarantines, travel bans, overreacting in all the ways that would be counterproductive. I would hate to see that now."
 
I saw a lot of problems, and found most of those points to be rather specious, which is why I chose not to reply
This reminded me of a scene from a French comedy Le chevre (1981). Here is how I remember it: The protagonist (played by Pierre Richard) has attempted to intimidate a thug by telling the thug that he is a master of the martial arts. The thug calls his bluff and proceeds to denigrate the protagonist who responds to every one of the multiple humiliating and degrading verbal and physical insults with - "I could have EASILY taught you a LESSON to not do that, if ONLY the principles to only use my powers for good that I learned from my Sensei were to allow it".
 
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/

UK's lockdown began on March 24 when they had about 8000 total cases and 400 deaths. Nineteen days later UK has a total of 84,200 cases and 10,600 deaths. Sweden reached 400 deaths on April 5 and it got 8000 cases on April 7. So we will need to wait 19 days until about April 25th, so that we can make a more appropriate comparison.
Today is April 25 - nineteen days after Sweden had over 400 deaths, that the UK had back when they had implemented their lockdown.

Sweden has less than 18,000 cases (which compares favorably to over 84,000 cases in the UK 19 days after their lockdown began) and fewer than 2,500 deaths (which compares favorably to over 10,000 deaths in the UK 19 days after their lockdown began).

Case closed?
 
As I had indicated in an earlier post, my Initial reaction was anger at the concept of waiting for "herd immunity" to set in, instead of enforcing quarantines and banning flights. But it hasn't occurred to me that locking down planet Earth was a possibility.
Your initial response was the correct one. All the evidence is that those countries which went into lockdown early and combined this with mass testing and contact tracing programmes have done much better during this crisis, countries such as Germany and South Korea. The big mistake of the UK and USA was not going into lockdown but going into lockdown too late and not carrying out enough testing and contact tracing.
This virus is deadly for the elderly and those with serious preexisting conditions (something like 95% of those who die have a serious preexisting condition). We could achieve 95% of the benefit that we are achieving with locking down Earth by isolating those vulnerable individuals.
Unlikely. Obviously, individuals highly at risk do need to be shielded. But to say that in itself would be sufficient is simply not convincing. It is extremely dangerous to make predictions about who is at risk - many, many individuals with no underlying health conditions have died from this virus. Also, the numbers with underlying health conditions are huge - for example in the USA around 35 million have diabetes. The best way to reduce deaths is to reduce the transmission rates through social distancing measures, and of course to put huge investment into vaccination research.
So we are paying an enormous cost (that involves the broken lives of graduate students who graduate this year to learn that they will never be able to be get a teaching job as a result of hiring freezes, business owners losing their business, etc., etc.) for 1% of the benefit.
Clearly the economic costs are huge but this requires economic solutions. Although the UK has been very slow in taking the necessary lockdown measures and not doing enough tests it has at least shown some understanding of the economic measures necessary, introducing schemes for companies to furlough employees and covering the majority of their wages. The US in contrast has done little which is why there has been a huge jump in unemployment there. Ultimately the key factor has to be that lost livelihoods can be recreated, but lost lives can't.
When I was advocating strong government action, I was assuming that we were given the right mortality figures. But the projection fell from over 2 million to 60,000 dead in the US. It is very fishy that they could be orders of magnitude wrong like that.
With a completely new virus it's not that surprising that projections can be wrong and some projections were based on taking no action. But I think to assume that the US will get away with 60,000 deaths in total is highly unlikely given that over 50,000 have already died and we are far from over the crisis.
 
Does the coronavirus make tinnitus worse?
Great question... and a nice segue into calmer waters pertaining to us... tinnitus sufferers.
According to @Ed209, who had it, it gave him a spike but it settled down to his loud base line.
I read that young people are getting strokes, doctors saw this in China as well.
This virus is a doozy, not just taking the old and the sick, if that wasn't bad enough already.
I am gutted as this will slow down regenerative hearing research and trials... which will be many tinnitus sufferers salvation, I strongly believe.

Hi Karl, Daniel here.
Miss my ABC radio up here in Laos, it was my salvation being able to listen to the radio in English.
 
They've had only 576 deaths. Many people live communally in crowded conditions in the slums. So there's that.

576, or 7576. Somewhere in there.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronavirus-missing-deaths.html

https://www.eturbonews.com/570579/6000-coronavirus-dead-unreported-corpses-left-on-the-sidewalk/

The big mistake of the UK and USA was not going into lockdown but going into lockdown too late and not carrying out enough testing and contact tracing.
I agree; you can't implement some parts of a successful program but not others and then blame the program when you get different results.

Of course, the kind of lockdown and tracing that countries in SEA will accept based on prior SARS experience and less overall personal freedom, would have made Wuhan-grade responses impossible in most of the West. But, we've seen a spectrum of responses, and are seeing a spectrum of outcomes.

My family went into lockdown ~2 weeks before most of the rest of the country.

Bill Bauer said:
It is very fishy that they could be orders of magnitude wrong like that.

I disagree for many reasons: disease modeling is hard under the best of circumstances, this is a novel disease along multiple axis, case modeling definitions changed during modeling (unsure where this timing is w/r/t IHME model), the IHME model was based on social distancing lasting much longer than it's going to so and never considered what happens after august when we get another wave, etc. It's not unusual for the difference between the best and worse case scenarios in very complex multivar models to have a huge spread between the ceiling and floor. It's not "fishy", it reflects the uncertainties of the situation.

We'll definitely blow through 60k way before August, I am increasingly convinced we'll hit 100K by the end of the year, and is it really that hard to think these numbers could have been even higher if we'd done nothing at all? The distancing measures we've done were too little, too late, no tracing, no grid testing -- but that's still better than doing nothing, as we'll see in Florida in 2 weeks.

I think it's a little premature to be making too much analysis of the Swedish response, too:


That does not appear to be a falling curve at this time.
 
Obama who hasn't banned flights from countries that had an Ebola outbreak?

upload_2020-4-25_10-7-15.png


Are you suggesting that it would have been a reasonable response to a disease which ultimately killed two people? IIRC, the Obama admin's response at the time was very much in line with CDC & WHO recs, and also, the CDC at that point was much better staffed just like every other federal agency.

For the record, I spent much of 2008-2016 complaining that Obama was a wolf in sheep's clothing domestic centrist with violent hawkish internationalist tendencies, so this is not me falling on a sword for Obama. I think he was a lot smarter than Trump, though.

Hell, I think the people calling Poison Control to ask about drinking bleach are smarter than trump -- because they are smart enough to recognize the limits of their own knowledge, call an expert, and then defer to expert opinion. Trump seems to continually struggle with the idea that anyone could be smarter than he is.
 
Today is April 25 - nineteen days after Sweden had over 400 deaths, that the UK had back when they had implemented their lockdown.

Sweden has less than 18,000 cases (which compares favorably to over 84,000 cases in the UK 19 days after their lockdown began) and fewer than 2,500 deaths (which compares favorably to over 10,000 deaths in the UK 19 days after their lockdown began).

Case closed?
No, not really. Comparing numbers of deaths in Sweden and numbers of deaths in the UK is hardly comparing like with like. The UK has over six times the population of Sweden and a much, much higher population density so it is hardly surprising it has more cases and deaths - especially as the UK was much too slow into lockdown.

A more accurate comparison would be Sweden with its neighbour Denmark. Denmark did the right thing by going into lockdown early - to date its coronavirus deaths are around 400. So Sweden has actually had over five times the number of coronavirus deaths as Denmark. Even adjusting for population size Denmark has had less than half Sweden's deaths as a percentage of population.
 
Sweden has actually had over five times the number of coronavirus deaths as Denmark. Even adjusting for population size Denmark has had less than half Sweden's deaths as a percentage of population.
I agree this is a better comparison but also think any of this math is like trying to assess insurance claims for a house fire, when the house is actually still on fire and there's some indications we're only in the beginning phases of the fire.

Any number of things could be right or wrong at this point; we have some optics, but more smoke and confusion. This is going to continue to kill people for quite a while; maybe we'll get a lull and then a spike and then a lull and then a spike; maybe we'll never even really hit those lulls.
 
All the evidence is that those countries which went into lockdown early and combined this with mass testing and contact tracing programmes have done much better during this crisis, countries such as Germany and South Korea. The big mistake of the UK and USA was not going into lockdown but going into lockdown too late and not carrying out enough testing and contact tracing.

I received the following NPR notice in an email a couple of weeks ago:

A Forbes story has grabbed a lot of attention over the last 24 hours, and the headline ("What Do Countries With The Best Coronavirus Responses Have In Common? Women Leaders") is clickbait gold. The piece has been read nearly 3 million times, and gives a nice roundup of how the female leaders of Iceland, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Taiwan, Germany and New Zealand gave a master class in leadership during this pandemic.

960x0.jpg
 
I received the following NPR notice in an email a couple of weeks ago:

A Forbes story has grabbed a lot of attention over the last 24 hours, and the headline ("What Do Countries With The Best Coronavirus Responses Have In Common? Women Leaders") is clickbait gold. The piece has been read nearly 3 million times, and gives a nice roundup of how the female leaders of Iceland, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Taiwan, Germany and New Zealand gave a master class in leadership during this pandemic.

View attachment 38389
I didn't read what you wrote so I presume you are asking which is the best looking. I would go for:

1. Finland
2. Iceland
3. Take your pick.

Who did you go for?
 
I was referring to his (exact) words and comments not being contextualized properly. In the 2 1/2 video I linked to, the Homeland Security official talked for about 2/3 of that time, while Trump's extemporaneous comments were less than a minute. I just thought the video provided a much better context. -- News organizations are notorious for taking things out of context (usually to try to improve viewership), and this appears to be just one example of that.

BTW, UV light and other modalities (such as ozone) are well known for being able to kill viruses and other pathogens. So what the Homeland Security official was saying does have some merit. Some have argued that a combination of UV light and ozone could vastly improve the safety of the nations blood supply, because it would be relatively easy to treat all blood that's donated.
It's one thing for someone on an Internet forum to promote a scientifically unsupported and dangerous quack "cure," it's another for the President of the United States during a press conference in the middle of a global pandemic.

Not only his own extensive PR machine, but also -- with calls to poison control centers spiking following the broadcast -- the major manufacturers of household cleansing products, have been on damage control ever since.
 
This reminded me of a scene from a French comedy Le chevre (1981). Here is how I remember it: The protagonist (played by Pierre Richard) has attempted to intimidate a thug by telling the thug that he is a master of the martial arts. The thug calls his bluff and proceeds to denigrate the protagonist who responds to every one of the multiple humiliating and degrading verbal and physical insults with - "I could have EASILY taught you a LESSON to not do that, if ONLY the principles to only use my powers for good that I learned from my Sensei were to allow it".

 

@FGG -- I'm at quite a loss, and perhaps you can help me out. I've seen numerous references in news stories of Trump encouraging people to drink bleach. I watched the above video, which I've assumed was the gist of his comments. Nowhere did I hear him say anything about bleach.

Did I miss something? Did he really say that, or did he not? Is it fair for news reporters to report or infer that he's encouraging people to do this if he didn't? I honestly don't know what to make of this whole thing, but my impression is that news outlets are using the word "bleach" to sensationalize things, and are being way too misleading in reporting what Trump was apparently supposed to have said. -- Thanks.
 
@FGG -- I'm at quite a loss, and perhaps you can help me out. I've seen numerous references in news stories of Trump encouraging people to drink bleach. I watched the above video, which I've assumed was the gist of his comments. Nowhere did I hear him say anything about bleach.

Did I miss something? Did he really say that, or did he not? Is it fair for news reporters to report or infer that he's encouraging people to do this if he didn't? I honestly don't know what to make of this whole thing, but my impression is that news outlets are using the word "bleach" to sensationalize things, and are being way too misleading in reporting what Trump was apparently supposed to have said. -- Thanks.
I don't think he told anyone to drink bleach. Certainly not directly if he did.

For one, he seemed to be referring to isopropyl alcohol and not bleach and you don't see reports of people drinking that. It's possible someone took his query to his advisor about getting disinfectants into the body as an endorsement to ingesting all kinds of disinfectants now but I think that's kind of a stretch. It may have happened a few times because some people truly don't think (hence the "Darwin awards") but I doubt it's widespread.
 
talk separately about the disinfectant that kills in a minute (isopropyl alcohol) and then suggests maybe that disinfectant should be used IV (or at least in the body in some way).
Hydrogen peroxide is a disinfectant, right?
Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, H2O2 may help fight the coronavirus, according to Dr. Thomas Levy. He said people can utilize hydrogen peroxide using its aerosolized form in a standard nebulizer.

Levy suggested using at least a 3 percent food grade hydrogen peroxide. It is important to know that some products have higher concentrations and people should inhale only 3 percent.

...

Experts said inhaling the vapor using a nebulizer has been the most convenient to receive hydrogen peroxide to fight viral infections.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/me...eatment-for-coronavirus-infection/ar-BB12qktc

LOL!
 

I thought I remembered slaps. Still wonderful, thank you for the clip. Now I feel the need to rewarch all of the Pierre Richard movies.
when I got my motorcycle out of storage today, I watched them wipe the whole thing down with lysol before they turned it over to me.

What a world!
They must have read the recent "MATHEMATICAL MODELING FOR TRANSMISSIBILITY OF COVID-19 VIA MOTORCYCLES" paper.

You might also want to read the second search result in the Google Scholar set of search results below: "The biomechanics of spinal injuries."

https://scholar.google.ca/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0,5&q=mathematical+modeling+covid-19+motorcycle&btnG=

No000000000, you can't risk making your body uninhabitable!!!!! You can't just pay for an hour of fun with a lifetime of suffering!!!!!!!!!!!
Engine go brrrrrrr
 
It's one thing for someone on an Internet forum to promote a scientifically unsupported and dangerous quack "cure," it's another for the President of the United States during a press conference in the middle of a global pandemic.
He was describing the latest research (see my post above) which was the point of the conference. ;)
 

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