- Aug 21, 2014
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@Ed209, interesting food for thought here.
A study concluded that there was only a 7% difference in the economic hit to regions of the country that locked down hard, compared to regions that basically did almost nothing.
The obvious takeaway is a thing I've said before: lockdowns don't matter, in the US, economically, because even the most severe "lockdowns" we have various places are less restrictive than what a majority of the population is doing out of fear of the virus. But, now we have pretty convincing data to support that. 7% isn't nothing, but it's hardly a sea change.
COVID-19, and people's sense of self-preservation, is what's fireballing the service industry. Not lockdowns.
This isn't a defense of some of the mandates that I have thought are stupid or not science based, but, the idea that stuff is somehow tied to catastrophic financial harm does not seem to withstand the scrutiny of data.
Also, here's a nice, if preliminary, data-based rebuttal to the idea that reopening schools doesn't trigger community spread. It very clearly does, because kids can get and spread COVID-19, a thing we've known decisively for more than half a year.
A study concluded that there was only a 7% difference in the economic hit to regions of the country that locked down hard, compared to regions that basically did almost nothing.
The obvious takeaway is a thing I've said before: lockdowns don't matter, in the US, economically, because even the most severe "lockdowns" we have various places are less restrictive than what a majority of the population is doing out of fear of the virus. But, now we have pretty convincing data to support that. 7% isn't nothing, but it's hardly a sea change.
COVID-19, and people's sense of self-preservation, is what's fireballing the service industry. Not lockdowns.
This isn't a defense of some of the mandates that I have thought are stupid or not science based, but, the idea that stuff is somehow tied to catastrophic financial harm does not seem to withstand the scrutiny of data.
Also, here's a nice, if preliminary, data-based rebuttal to the idea that reopening schools doesn't trigger community spread. It very clearly does, because kids can get and spread COVID-19, a thing we've known decisively for more than half a year.