I think by
this time last year, a lot of people. I remember still being in the planning phases of a summer trip, and one of the people involved made the comment that they were unlikely to attend if COVID-19 shut down travel and the eastern seaboard of the US.
A year ago I was sick as hell with some kind of influenza-like virus that was followed by the most severe respiratory problems I've ever had
, and it looks to me like 3/8 of last year was the last time I went out did things socially. I think that means we spent the 3/9-3/15 week loading up on supplies for the long haul, and we've been in more or less the same holding pattern ever since, with some variations as the situation on the ground has changed.
Vaccinations will be great but until our kid can be vaccinated it doesn't necessarily change a whole lot; we know we see weird, scary effects in kids sometimes following minor infection, and we don't yet have sufficient data to say whether this is much more likely than with other random childhood viruses. 2021 is probably going to be a road back to some kind of more social living but I don't expect it to happen very fast. I also probably only want the Pfizer vaxx, at least for my kid; I'll roll the dice on purportedly worse peripheral effects from Moderna myself, but I wouldn't with my kid, and I am unconvinced on J&J / AZ, and definitely don't want any of the other non-RNA vaccines (which likely won't show up stateside anyway).