2020 US Presidential Election

[Juan]

Interesting series of articles on the Pandora Papers by The Guardian.

It seems South Dakota is a tax haven, as well as other US states... and still US politicians pretend to come up with ways to finance spending when things are as easy as taxing those rich people who are avoiding or evading taxes through tax havens.

 

[Luman]

A slight majority of Americans now feel that Donald Trump was a better President than Joe Biden. As Biden continues to fail and show no signs of being a good leader, Republicans will gain more votes and power.

The Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey of 1,578 registered voters was conducted from Sept. 15 to 16. It is a collaboration of the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and The Harris Poll.

President Biden and former President Trump are statistically tied when it comes to their favorability among U.S. voters, according to a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey shared exclusively with The Hill on Monday.

Forty-eight percent of respondents say they have a positive view of Trump compared to 46 percent who say they have a favorable opinion of his successor. Biden's favorability is slightly underwater, however: 49 percent of those surveyed said they have an unfavorable view of the current president, while slightly less — 47 percent — report an unfavorable opinion of Trump.

The findings are a remarkable shift for Biden, who repeatedly outperformed Trump's favorability numbers throughout the early months of his presidency.

But multiple crises, including a surge in new COVID-19 infections in recent months and the chaotic withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan, have bruised public perceptions of Biden.

Fifty-one percent of respondents now say Trump was a better president than Biden, while 49 percent prefer the White House's current occupant, the poll shows.

"The mounting issues on all fronts have led to the surprise conclusion that Trump is now seen as good a president as Biden, suggesting the honeymoon is being replaced now with buyer's remorse," Mark Penn, the co-director of the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey, said.​

Poll: Biden, Trump statistically tied in favorability

 

[Juan]

The Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey of 1,578 registered voters was conducted from Sept. 15 to 16.

1.578 registered voters... surely representative of 200 million people.

 

[Luman]

1.578 registered voters... surely representative of 200 million people.

Tell that to Harvard, lol.

 

[GregCA]

1.578 registered voters... surely representative of 200 million people.

It is actually very representative.

You can compute the required sample/survey size very easily here:

https://www.surveymonkey.com/mp/sample-size-calculator/

Assuming 200M people, 95% confidence level and 3% margin of error, you only need about 1000 samples.

It may sound counterintuitive, but it is what it is.

 

[Damocles]

It is actually very representative.

You can compute the required sample/survey size very easily here:

https://www.surveymonkey.com/mp/sample-size-calculator/

Assuming 200M people, 95% confidence level and 3% margin of error, you only need about 1000 samples.

It may sound counterintuitive, but it is what it is.

It's stupid and indicative of how scandalously misused statistics are, is what it is.

 

[Juan]

It is actually very representative.

You can compute the required sample/survey size very easily here:

https://www.surveymonkey.com/mp/sample-size-calculator/

Assuming 200M people, 95% confidence level and 3% margin of error, you only need about 1000 samples.

It may sound counterintuitive, but it is what it is.

I know about the statistical representation of a sample, but here we are talking about 1.500 individuals. It is a very small sample I think.

 

[Juan]

Tell that to Harvard, lol.

Putting a "Harvard stamp" on something does not make it more legitimate or accurate.

Actually Boris Johnson has an Eton stamp and he is a disgrace for the UK

 

[Luman]

Biden's popularity is sinking.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

 

[Damocles]

Biden's popularity is sinking.

View attachment 47065

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

@Luman, what are you talking about?

Biden didn't have any popularity to sink.

That election was rigged as f*ck, and everybody knows it.

Why are you bothering to try and discredit a man with no credibility?

It's like telling people Kevin Spacey is gay...

 

[Lilah]

No one expected Biden to be this bad, not even the Democrats. A lot has not gone the Democrats' way, such as Biden's epic failures on Afghanistan, immigration (well, maybe this), inflation/economy, foreign relations (with France, for example), etc. I thought college students were supposed to be extremely liberal, instead now they are chanting FJB at many football games, concerts, etc. Also, no one expected Trump's influence to continue like this... this is probably the first time in U.S. presidential history where people put up (Trump) signs after an election.

 

[GregCA]

I know about the statistical representation of a sample, but here we are talking about 1.500 individuals. It is a very small sample I think.

Oh I know that it seems small. Even "that small", it represents the larger population very accurately.

That's why I said it's counterintuitive: it feels like it shouldn't, but it does!

 

[Juan]

Biden's popularity is sinking.

View attachment 47065

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

It's is very easy to knock those evil Democrats down. The Republicans have the key to raise the US debt ceiling... or not. And they have the majority.

Simple, isn't it?

 

[Luman]

@Luman, what are you talking about?

Biden didn't have any popularity to sink.

That election was rigged as f*ck, and everybody knows it.

Why are you bothering to try and discredit a man with no credibility?

It's like telling people Kevin Spacey is gay...

Just keeping the topic on track, giving the devil his due, lol.

 

[Wrfortiscue]

I don't know... Biden provides a ton of funny material yet crickets on my feed. I don't get it, it's gold lol. Trump memes were funny too.

 

[Juan]

New Zealand also raised interest rates.

Powell is still doing nothing and earning a nice salary for it...

I wonder if US inflation will go above 8% by Christmas...

 

[Luman]

It's time for Democrats to choose between limited success and total failure

Analysis by Stephen Collinson, CNN
Wed October 6, 2021

It's time for Democrats to choose.

If President Joe Biden's multitrillion-dollar social reform, climate and infrastructure agenda is to survive, his divided party must make unpleasant decisions about which programs to fund and which to drop to reach a compromise deal.

As they seek to preserve the President's ambitious effort to rebuild the economy for working Americans, Democratic lawmakers also face a parallel dilemma: Do they finance all the sweeping health care, education, welfare and climate programs for a shorter duration than planned? Or should they pick a few priorities to bed down in national life over the long term?

https://www.cnn.com/2021/10/06/politics/democratic-dilemmas-define-biden-presidency/index.html

 

[Luman]

President Joe Biden's approval rating hits new low in latest Quinnipiac poll
Oct. 6 2021 USA Today

As his agenda flounders on Capitol Hill, President Joe Biden's popularity among everyday Americans is taking a beating.

Biden's approval rating has dropped to 38%, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday. That's down from 42% three weeks ago and from a high of 50% in mid-February.

"Battered on trust, doubted on leadership, and challenged on overall competency, President Biden is being hammered on all sides as his approval rating continues its downward slide to a number not seen since the tough scrutiny of the Trump administration," Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy said in a prepared statement.

While the Quinnipiac poll has Biden at an all-time low approval rating, an analysis of various polls by FiveThirtyEight shows it remains at 44%. That is 6 points higher than the Quinnipiac poll.

While Biden maintains wild popularity among Democrats – about 80% approve of the job he is doing – his approval rating among Republicans and independents, who make up the largest portion of the sample, has cratered, according to Quinnipiac.

About 32% of independents approve of Biden's job as president. His approval rating among Republicans is only 4%.

Respondents panned his handling of the Afghanistan withdrawal, with only 28% saying the withdrawal was the right move. He had negative approval for his handling of the military, taxes, foreign policy, immigration and the Mexican border, according to the poll.

Biden also hit low points in the latest poll on two key questions: his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and the economy. About half of those polled said they disapprove of the way he has handled the coronavirus, and 55% disapprove of his handling of the economy.

The White House has ramped up pressure on Americans to get vaccinated, but about 20% of respondents said they still do not plan to receive a vaccine.

The poll surveyed 1,326 adults between Oct. 1-4. Its margin of error was 2.7 percentage points.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...ts-new-low-latest-quinnipiac-poll/6024631001/

 

[Juan]

I still think those Republicans, as it's traditional, will raise, yes, once againg, the crazy debt ceiling of the US.

After casting their vote to raise it, they will not be able to complain about it or about the crazy spending plans for trillions and trillions of dollars.

 

[Luman]

Clay Travis: Biden led his campaign on COVID, but things have gotten worse since 2020

Joe Biden's presidential campaign was predicated on the notion that a vote against Donald Trump would be a step in the right direction for COVID, immigration, the economy and overall unity.

In less than a year, Biden has crashed on his Build Back Better slogan and allowed America to be a worse place to live in 2021. Homicide rates are higher than the year prior, COVID is claiming more lives and the exit from the pandemic no longer has an end in sight now that the Biden White House has nullified the vaccine's effect on getting rid of masks and mandates.

OutKick's Clay Travis spoke on how history will ultimately vindicate those who chose to fight against the Biden agenda and senseless COVID mandates.

"Do you remember when Joe Biden ran his campaign from his basement and he told everyone that he was going to solve COVID? More Americans have died in 2021 with COVID than died in 2020," said Clay, calling out the Dems' recent track record as a testament to their failures.

"Remember when Joe Biden came out and said, 'Hey if you just wear masks for 100 days, COVID will be over'? Do you remember when he said in May if you get the COVID vaccination, you'll never have to wear a mask again?

"What's happening is: Joe Biden used COVID to get elected as president and since then, he's been a disaster of a president. But even in COVID, which he claimed would be his signature issue, he's failed. It really is an embarrassment that the country was allowed to be put into this position.

https://www.foxnews.com/sports/clay-travis-biden-campaign-covid-things-have-gotten-worse

 

[Luman]

You can't make this up. Joe Biden has nominated a graduate of Moscow State University, in the then-USSR, with radical communist views, for the position of Comptroller of the Currency.

Pennsylvania Republican Toomey requests copy of Biden currency-comptroller nominee's Moscow State thesis on Marx

 

[PeteJ]

I still think those Republicans, as it's traditional, will raise, yes, once againg, the crazy debt ceiling of the US.

After casting their vote to raise it, they will not be able to complain about it or about the crazy spending plans for trillions and trillions of dollars.

Another problem which isn't being discussed is the amount of people who are out of work and this number continues to grow. It's global, as well. Not just in the USA. People are being fired for not getting vaccinated. It's in many sectors but particularly in the health-related sector. Several thousands of people all over Western nations, suddenly out of work.

 

[Juan]

Another problem which isn't being discussed is the amount of people who are out of work and this number continues to grow. It's global, as well. Not just in the USA. People are being fired for not getting vaccinated. It's in many sectors but particularly in the health-related sector. Several thousands of people all over Western nations, suddenly out of work.

In Spain the official rate of unemployment is high, but most of those people are getting benefits, subsidies etc etc and do NOT want to work, or are working under the table, and still getting subsidies.

In the US the subsidies may be even higher than in Spain, as the cost of living is higher in average... but maybe people prefer NOT to work anyway.

All this is going to lead to even more inflation, as salaries will have to go up to lure people back into work.

The only person who does not see this is... Jay Powell, who presides the FED

 

[Juan]

You can't make this up. Joe Biden has nominated a graduate of Moscow State University, in the then-USSR, with radical communist views, for the position of Comptroller of the Currency.

Pennsylvania Republican Toomey requests copy of Biden currency-comptroller nominee's Moscow State thesis on Marx

There is going to be an extension on the US debt ceiling, an extension the Republicans vote for, so later on they won't be able to complain about it.

 

[Luman]

There is going to be an extension on the US debt ceiling, an extension the Republicans vote for, so later on they won't be able to complain about it.

What does this have to do with the nomination, by Biden, of Saul Omarova, for Controller of the Currency? The debt ceiling that you are obsessed with has nothing to do with her, she is currently a teacher and not employed by the government.

 

[Juan]

I think right now the most relevant issues in the US, and maybe for the world too are:

- Interest rates
- The role of Facebook and tech in general, which is destroying democracy

However, world politicians postpone, and postpone, and postpone any real debate about this and do not want to address any of those 2 problems.

Facebook is a harmful presence in our lives. It's not too late to pull the plug on it

 

[Luman]

I think right now the most relevant issues in the US, and maybe for the world too are:

- Interest rates
- The role of Facebook and tech in general, which is destroying democracy

However, world politicians postpone, and postpone, and postpone any real debate about this and do not want to address any of those 2 problems.

Facebook is a harmful presence in our lives. It's not too late to pull the plug on it

Somebody should "Pull the plug" on YOU!

This thread is about the 2020 Presidential election, and Facebook is not the President, Biden is.

 

[Lilah]

I think right now the most relevant issues in the US, and maybe for the world too are:

- Interest rates
- The role of Facebook and tech in general, which is destroying democracy

However, world politicians postpone, and postpone, and postpone any real debate about this and do not want to address any of those 2 problems.

Facebook is a harmful presence in our lives. It's not too late to pull the plug on it

I have quit Facebook and Twitter after the way they treated Trump. My life is much better now.

 

[Wrfortiscue]

Somebody should "Pull the plug" on YOU!

This thread is about the 2020 Presidential election, and Facebook is not the President, Biden is.

That made me crack up haha.

 

[Juan]

This thread is about the 2020 Presidential election, and Facebook is not the President, Biden is.

I think you have an obsession on Biden haha... the guy has barely sat his ass on the Oval Office. Let him do his job for a change.