If they don't raise it by at least 75 basis points now then it further shows to me that they must have always had another agenda. It's already far too late to be doing this as I've repeatedly said; they should have done all this in 2018, at the minimum, but they didn't. They have continued to kick the can down the road whilst trying to paper over some very fundamental cracks.The FED is so behind the curve that 75 basic points just will not be enough:
From an outsider's perspective, it still looks to me as though they planned to intentionally inflate the M2 supply to substantially shrink their debt burdens. No matter how you look at it, there is no other valid explanation for the actions they have taken since 2008 other than them being incredibly stupid.
Shrewd investors are waiting to see what breaks first because a real shit storm is upon us and nobody knows how it's going to play out. Will the US economy break down? The financial markets are all intrinsically linked, so there could be a lot of contagion.
The fed is screwed, basically. If they try to fight inflation they risk bankrupting the US, but if they don't, they risk losing the dollar as the world's reserve currency. It's like a choice between being raped by a gorilla or mauled by a bear.