I'm pretty sure as we speak most nations are trying to make a compromise between safety measures and not collapsing their economy which could bring on a lot of collateral damage.I think getting people to work from home and to avoid public places and stopping all nonessential travel might still go a long way to reduce the number of people who get it
But the economic decisions being made seem very short term imo.I'm pretty sure as we speak most nations are trying to make a compromise between safety measures and not collapsing their economy which could bring on a lot of collateral damage.
I am sorry to hear this Ed, and I hope both the baby and your wife make a speedy recovery!There's a chance my wife and daughter may have it. My wife has been ill since Thursday and on Saturday it became so bad that she was struggling to breathe and had to seek medical attention for both herself and our baby's health.
The heart trace for our baby over 10 minutes wasn't quite right so they immediately scheduled her for a 60-minute trace. That was also abnormal. After a consultant reviewed it they said it appeared to be more of a background noise problem possibly from my wife coughing, etc. After this they let her go.
Today our daughter has a fever and our local paper has reported the first confirmed case of covid 19 in our city. My wife was in the same hospital as the person who was found to have it, and it more than likely would have been on the same day.
We won't know if it is or not, but my wife wasn't tested for it. She is a school teacher which is a job that has possibly the greatest potential for infection, especially as it's a very affluent private school and the families who attend are always going abroad for both business and pleasure. My wife was recently at a parents evening as well, and this included a member of staff who had recently gone skiing in Italy.
I have no concern whatsoever about me or my daughter, but there is no data about how it affects unborn children. My wife seems to be over the worst of it now, but it quite literally could be any bug or virus that's out there.
I still have no idea why people are emptying supermarket shelves and running around like headless chickens. People have lost their minds.
I am sorry to hear this Ed, and I hope both the baby and your wife make a speedy recovery!
This, despite her having a classic symptom of this new virus:my wife wasn't tested for it
It really looks like the authorities are actively trying to keep the number of reported cases low by refusing to test people.My wife ... was struggling to breathe
The idea is to have enough supplies at home to be able to stay at home for a month without needing to go out to get groceries. This self isolation allows one to reduce the chance that one gets infected or that one infects the others.I still have no idea why people are emptying supermarket shelves
This, despite her having classic symptom of this new virus:
It really looks like the authorities are actively trying to keep the number of reported cases low by refusing to test people.
I hope everyone in your family gets well soon.
The idea is to have enough supplies at home to be able to stay at home for a month without needing to go out to get groceries. This self isolation allows one to reduce the chance that one gets infected or that one infects the others.
Sad.You'd think there's a zombie apocalypse with how people are behaving in my city. Ironically, the ones who need to buy things the most are also the least likely to get what they need, namely, the elderly. I've lost count of the posts I've seen of elderly people who have had to go from shop to shop just to get their essentials. Many people in this demographic struggle to get out and can often only go once a week on the bus, which makes shop hopping extremely difficult. A lot are coming back missing many of their essentials because everything is sold out.
Yes they do.Cite your sources, epidemiologists don't agree with you
I totally disagree with that.True, and our planet is also overpopulated. It might actually be a really good thing if half the population or so was eliminated. It's very unlikely to happen, modern medicine and healthcare has just gotten too advanced.
Here is the breakdown by age:Yes they do.
My sources are in French but just look at @GregCA's sources, they give the exact same data.
Till the age of 40, the mortality rate is 0.2%.
And peak or not means nothing, we already have enough data to calculate the death rate with very little margin of error.
Actually it might even be overkill because there are people infected that are just getting cured without going in the stats or infected.
Sorry, I misunderstood.Here is the breakdown by age:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/
0.2% is one in 500 people under 40. That is *very* significantly higher than the flu and for older people or ill people the covid-19 death rate falls off a cliff.
And I was responding to the absolutely numbers in your post as being premature, not the rate.
Sorry, I misunderstood.
Yes you are right, the absolute number of deaths right now means not much, but I believe with the vaccination coming this will plateau fast and will not be more common than the flu.
Like every virus this kills a lot of people at first, then people take precautions, get vaccinated, and everything is fine.
I mean look at measles.
I hope they can churn a vaccine out quickly. It would indeed be the answer.Sorry, I misunderstood.
Yes you are right, the absolute number of deaths right now means not much, but I believe with the vaccination coming this will plateau fast and will not be more common than the flu.
Like every virus this kills a lot of people at first, then people take precautions, get vaccinated, and everything is fine.
I mean look at measles.
For me, the word "AIDS" popped up in my mind... why's that? I don't know but certainly there must be a lot of things we don't know about coronavirus... and China wouldn't force millions of people to stay home, and passengers arriving in China to quarantine, for no reason.I'm really puzzled by the comparison to the flu. Do people think China normally shuts down entire cities for the flu? I get that they apparently "do things differently there" but c'mon. They aren't dumb nor are they the least bit prone to overreaction measures that would drastically reduce their productivity and national revenue for months unless they think it's serious.
And then the anti-vaxxers came along and allowed certain viruses to make a comeback.
The USA will soon witness one of the vastest wealth transfers in history, as massive numbers of old people die, and hospitals send medical bills to capture their entire estates.
Hopefully you are right and the worst possible outcome won't happen. But for a better outcome to happen a sufficient number of people ought to panic and take all precautions...Why is everyone so freaked out about coronavirus?
It's just another virus...
Mortality rate before the age of 40 is 0,2% and the contagion is less than the commun flu.
Oh and the common flu kills 300k to 600k per year in the world, while this has killed... 3,5k so far?
People really need to chill. And the media needs to stop overselling it.
You don't need to panic to take all precautions.Hopefully you are right and the worst possible outcome won't happen. But for a better outcome to happen a sufficient number of people ought to panic and take all precautions...
I disagree; even places that are doing extremely extensive testing like China and SK have said they believe there may be some significant number of cases that go unreported because people are not symptomatic at all, or believe they have some lesser thing.we already have enough data to calculate the death rate with very little margin of error.g.
Gabriel said:contagion is less than the commun flu.
https://www.livescience.com/new-coronavirus-compare-with-flu.htmlThe measure scientists use to determine how easily a virus spreads is known as the "basic reproduction number," or R0 (pronounced R-nought). This is an estimate of the average number of people who catch the virus from a single infected person, Live science previously reported. The flu has an R0 value of about 1.3, according to The New York Times.
Researchers are still working to determine the R0 for COVID-19. Preliminary studies have estimated an R0 value for the new coronavirus to be between 2 and 3, according to the JAMA review study published Feb. 28. This means each infected person has spread the virus to an average of 2 to 3 people.
I guess this means that you don't know anything about this virus.Washing hands, coughing in your elbow, these are actually enough. If everybody would do that in one month the virus would be eradicated.